Leeds United vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
HER
2 - 0
LEE
24%
27%
48%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
HUR
1 - 0
LEE
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2009 |
LEE
2 - 0
MIL
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
WAL
1 - 0
LEE
30%
27%
44%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
LEE
2 - 0
SOU
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
STO
1 - 0
CHE
72%
17%
10%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CHE
2 - 3
HER
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
CHE
3 - 5
MKD
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
BRO
3 - 2
CHE
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
CHE
2 - 2
BHA
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |