Leeds United vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1930 |
WHU
1 - 1
LEE
64%
19%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1930 |
LEE
2 - 3
SHW
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1930 |
NEW
4 - 1
LEE
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1930 |
LEE
7 - 0
MID
53%
22%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1930 |
LIV
2 - 0
LEE
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1930 |
CHL
2 - 0
MAC
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1930 |
BBU
2 - 0
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1930 |
CHL
3 - 0
BPO
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1930 |
BIR
6 - 2
CHL
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1930 |
CHL
1 - 0
SHE
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |