Leeds United vs Cardiff City analysis

Leeds United Cardiff City
83 ELO 69
14.5% Tilt 8.5%
131º General ELO ranking 1191º
19º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
77.5%
Leeds United
14.9%
Draw
7.6%
Cardiff City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
Leeds United
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.6%
Win probability
Cardiff City
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leeds United
-5%
-17%
Cardiff City

Points and table prediction

Leeds United
Their league position
Cardiff City
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
18º
62
20º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leicester
97
97
100%
Ipswich Town
96
96
100%
Leeds United
90
90
100%
Southampton
87
87
100%
West Bromwich Albion
75
75
100%
Norwich City
73
73
100%
Hull City
70
70
100%
Middlesbrough
69
69
100%
Coventry City
64
64
100%
Preston North End
10º
63
63
10º
100%
Bristol City
11º
62
62
11º
100%
Cardiff City
12º
62
62
12º
100%
Millwall
13º
59
59
13º
100%
Swansea City
14º
57
57
14º
100%
Watford
15º
56
56
15º
0%
Sunderland
16º
56
56
16º
0%
Stoke City
17º
56
56
17º
100%
Queens Park Rangers
18º
56
56
18º
100%
Blackburn Rovers
19º
53
53
19º
100%
Sheffield Wednesday
20º
53
53
20º
100%
Plymouth Argyle
21º
51
51
21º
100%
Birmingham City
22º
50
50
22º
100%
Huddersfield Town
23º
45
45
23º
100%
Rotherham United
24º
27
27
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Leeds United
Cardiff City
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Leeds United
Cardiff City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leeds United
Leeds United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2023
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 1
Leeds United
LEE
26%
24%
50%
83 74 9 0
27 Jul. 2023
NTT
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
Leeds United
LEE
41%
24%
34%
83 83 0 0
22 Jul. 2023
LEE
Leeds United
0 - 2
Monaco
MON
44%
23%
33%
83 84 1 0
12 Jul. 2023
MUD
Manchester United
2 - 0
Leeds United
LEE
79%
14%
7%
83 95 12 0
28 May. 2023
LEE
Leeds United
1 - 4
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
23%
22%
55%
83 90 7 0

Matches

Cardiff City
Cardiff City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2023
WYC
Wycombe Wanderers
0 - 0
Cardiff City
CAR
35%
25%
40%
68 65 3 0
22 Jul. 2023
FCP
Porto
4 - 0
Cardiff City
CAR
82%
12%
6%
68 88 20 0
21 Jul. 2023
CAM
Cambrian & Clydach
2 - 2
Cardiff City
CAR
9%
16%
75%
69 40 29 -1
19 Jul. 2023
SPB
Sporting Braga
1 - 0
Cardiff City
CAR
76%
16%
8%
69 85 16 0
11 Jul. 2023
CAR
Cardiff City
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
55%
23%
23%
69 60 9 0
X