FA Cup 1/32
Global 7-4
Leeds United vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 1
LEE
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
LEE
17%
22%
61%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
LEE
2 - 2
WHU
34%
25%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 0
LEE
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
LEE
1 - 3
MAC
8%
17%
75%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
WIG
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
LEE
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
BBU
1 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
COV
0 - 0
CAR
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
QPR
34%
28%
39%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |