Leeds United vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1960 |
LEE
2 - 4
BPO
45%
24%
30%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1960 |
FUL
5 - 0
LEE
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1960 |
NEW
2 - 1
LEE
64%
19%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1960 |
LEE
1 - 4
WBA
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1960 |
CHL
1 - 3
LEE
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1960 |
BIR
4 - 1
NTT
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1960 |
MAC
3 - 0
BIR
57%
21%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1960 |
LEI
1 - 3
BIR
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1960 |
BIR
2 - 1
PNE
48%
22%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1960 |
MUD
2 - 1
BIR
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |