Leeds United vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
CAR
4 - 1
LEE
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1956 |
LUT
2 - 2
LEE
57%
21%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1956 |
LEE
1 - 0
ASV
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
WOL
1 - 2
LEE
77%
13%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1956 |
LEE
2 - 0
MAC
39%
23%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
BIR
0 - 0
BOL
68%
18%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1956 |
WOL
3 - 0
BIR
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1956 |
BIR
2 - 1
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
CHL
1 - 0
BIR
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1956 |
BIR
3 - 0
PNE
62%
19%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |