Leeds United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 2
LEE
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
WOL
4 - 1
LEE
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
LEE
2 - 1
MID
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BRE
3 - 1
LEE
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
LEE
1 - 2
DER
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ASV
2 - 0
IPS
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
ASV
2 - 1
SUN
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
QPR
1 - 2
ASV
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ASV
1 - 2
SHW
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
PNE
0 - 2
ASV
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |