Leeds United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1998 |
LEE
1 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
EVE
0 - 0
LEE
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
LEE
3 - 0
SOU
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
WIM
1 - 1
LEE
44%
27%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1998 |
LEE
1 - 0
BBU
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1998 |
ASV
3 - 2
STR
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
ASV
2 - 0
WIM
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
ASV
1 - 0
NEW
50%
26%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
SHW
0 - 1
ASV
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
ASV
3 - 1
MID
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |