Leeds United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
25.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1997 |
LIV
3 - 1
LEE
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
LEE
2 - 0
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
CHL
0 - 0
LEE
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
LEE
0 - 0
EVE
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
BAR
2 - 3
LEE
28%
26%
45%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1997 |
ASV
4 - 1
TOT
54%
25%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
ASV
1 - 1
SOU
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1997 |
MUD
1 - 0
ASV
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1997 |
ASV
2 - 0
STB
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
ASV
3 - 0
COV
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |