Leeds United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1958 |
OPA
2 - 0
LEE
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1958 |
MAC
2 - 1
LEE
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1958 |
LEE
2 - 1
ARS
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1958 |
EVE
3 - 2
LEE
52%
22%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1958 |
BIR
4 - 1
LEE
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 4
WBA
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1958 |
ASV
2 - 1
NEW
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1958 |
BBU
2 - 3
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 1
BPO
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1958 |
WOL
4 - 0
ASV
80%
12%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |