Leeds United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1935 |
LEE
1 - 1
BIR
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1935 |
DER
1 - 2
LEE
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1935 |
LEE
0 - 2
LEI
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1935 |
SUN
3 - 0
LEE
69%
16%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1935 |
LEE
1 - 1
WOL
59%
19%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1935 |
ASV
1 - 1
HUR
63%
17%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1935 |
ASV
4 - 2
LIV
67%
16%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1935 |
OPA
0 - 1
ASV
47%
22%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1935 |
ASV
2 - 3
WBA
64%
17%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1935 |
ASV
1 - 3
ARS
51%
20%
29%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |