Leeds United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 1
BOL
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
NOT
1 - 0
LEE
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1925 |
EVE
1 - 0
LEE
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
LEE
1 - 0
ARS
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
MAC
4 - 2
LEE
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1925 |
MUD
3 - 0
ASV
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
ASV
10 - 0
BUR
60%
21%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1925 |
ASV
2 - 0
NTT
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
4 - 3
BBU
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 1
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |