Leeds United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
MUD
3 - 2
LEE
79%
13%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
LEE
3 - 1
SHW
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
NEW
2 - 3
LEE
62%
20%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
LEE
1 - 2
PNE
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1956 |
BUR
0 - 0
LEE
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
ARS
3 - 0
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
WOL
5 - 2
ARS
70%
16%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
ARS
2 - 1
ASV
65%
19%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
EVE
4 - 0
ARS
42%
24%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1956 |
ARS
3 - 1
TOT
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |