Leeds United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1926 |
SHE
1 - 0
LEE
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1926 |
LEE
3 - 1
ASV
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1926 |
LEE
1 - 0
DER
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1926 |
CAR
3 - 1
LEE
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1926 |
MUD
2 - 2
LEE
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 0
LIV
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1926 |
MUD
2 - 2
ARS
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 2
LEI
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1926 |
BOL
2 - 2
ARS
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1926 |
SHE
4 - 0
ARS
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |