Leeds United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
MAC
4 - 2
LEE
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 1
BOL
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
LEE
1 - 0
BCF
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
BOL
1 - 0
LEE
73%
16%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
NTT
4 - 0
LEE
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
ARS
5 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1925 |
ARS
2 - 0
WBA
42%
29%
29%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
WBA
2 - 0
ARS
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
PNE
2 - 0
ARS
55%
22%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
ARS
1 - 1
CAR
42%
28%
31%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |