Leeds United vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MIL
2 - 0
LEE
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
SWI
1 - 2
LEE
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 2
LEE
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
LEE
1 - 1
DER
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BIR
1 - 3
LEE
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
STA
0 - 1
SOU
40%
27%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 1
STA
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
STA
0 - 1
BUR
16%
20%
64%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
STA
2 - 2
BBU
16%
19%
65%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
STA
3 - 2
AFC
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |