Lech Poznań U19 vs Jagiellonia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
9º
1º
39
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
FEV
1 - 3
LPO
12%
19%
69%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LPO
3 - 0
MIL
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PSZ
1 - 1
LPO
50%
22%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LPO
0 - 2
LEG
72%
17%
12%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WIK
3 - 1
LPO
20%
23%
58%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Jagiellonia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 2
ARG
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SLW
2 - 0
JAG
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
JAG
5 - 2
KSR
32%
24%
45%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +3 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GZA
3 - 0
JAG
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
JAG
0 - 1
LEC
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |