Lech Poznań II vs Hutnik Krakow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
18º
16º
49
1º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
40 | 40 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
39 | 39 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
34 | 34 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
KAL
2 - 1
LPO
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
STA
3 - 1
LPO
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LPO
0 - 3
LKS
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WIS
2 - 2
LPO
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LPO
0 - 4
POG
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hutnik Krakow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HUT
1 - 0
OLI
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TSP
0 - 1
HUT
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HUT
1 - 2
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HUT
0 - 2
CHO
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
KAL
3 - 0
HUT
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |