Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 3-1
Lech Poznań vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
WLO
0 - 0
LPO
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
LPO
1 - 0
POD
70%
20%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
LPO
1 - 0
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
WAR
0 - 1
LPO
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LPO
2 - 1
GDA
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
ZHE
1 - 1
FCA
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
TAR
0 - 2
ZHE
39%
25%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
KAI
1 - 0
ZHE
27%
28%
46%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
ZHE
1 - 1
TAR
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
ZHE
1 - 1
AST
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |