Lech Poznań vs Zaglebie Lubin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LPO
4 - 0
LKS
72%
20%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LPO
0 - 1
WLO
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
POD
0 - 0
LPO
19%
27%
54%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
1 - 0
LPO
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LPO
0 - 0
WAR
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zaglebie Lubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
ZAL
0 - 4
WAR
33%
29%
37%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GÓR
4 - 1
ZAL
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
WAR
3 - 0
ZAL
66%
20%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
ZAL
1 - 0
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ZAL
1 - 5
SLA
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |