Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Lech Poznań vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
RCH
1 - 3
LPO
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LPO
2 - 1
CRA
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
GÓR
0 - 2
LPO
36%
27%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LPO
0 - 2
JAG
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
POD
4 - 1
LPO
27%
28%
45%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Zagłębie Sosnowiec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
ARK
2 - 2
ZAG
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
WIG
0 - 2
ZAG
28%
27%
46%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ZAG
1 - 1
STA
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
ZAG
0 - 1
GKS
66%
21%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ZAW
6 - 1
ZAG
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |