Lech Poznań vs Widzew Łódź analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
7º
1º
25
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 60 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 60 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 50 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 37 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 29 |
18º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
34.5% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
40.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
25% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LPO
1 - 7
FCN
30%
24%
46%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
LPO
3 - 1
ČUK
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
LPO
0 - 0
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LPO
1 - 3
DZG
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
GÓR
2 - 1
LPO
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Widzew Łódź
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
WLO
7 - 0
FER
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
WLO
2 - 1
DUK
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
WLO
4 - 7
ZAL
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2025 |
WLO
1 - 1
DYN
32%
24%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
WLO
2 - 1
STA
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |