Lech Poznań vs Widzew Łódź analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
POD
0 - 0
LPO
19%
27%
54%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
1 - 0
LPO
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LPO
0 - 0
WAR
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
TSP
1 - 3
LPO
22%
25%
54%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
GDA
0 - 0
LPO
28%
28%
45%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Widzew Łódź
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
WLO
0 - 0
KOR
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GDA
0 - 0
WLO
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
WLO
1 - 0
CRA
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
WAR
3 - 0
WLO
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
WAR
2 - 0
WLO
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |