UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Lech Poznań vs Tiraspol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2006 |
TIR
1 - 0
LPO
29%
26%
46%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
POG
0 - 0
LPO
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
LPO
1 - 2
OWD
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
CRA
3 - 2
LPO
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
LPO
4 - 1
DYS
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tiraspol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2006 |
TIR
1 - 0
LPO
29%
26%
46%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
TIR
2 - 0
ARA
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
ARA
1 - 0
TIR
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
ZIM
1 - 0
TIR
63%
23%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
TIR
1 - 1
POL
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |