Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 0-1
Lech Poznań vs Stjarnan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
LPO
2 - 3
WIS
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
STJ
1 - 0
LPO
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GÓR
1 - 1
LPO
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
LPO
3 - 0
KAL
48%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
LPO
4 - 0
PGL
61%
22%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Stjarnan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
STJ
1 - 0
LPO
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
STJ
2 - 0
IBV
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
STJ
3 - 2
MHE
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
FYL
1 - 3
STJ
18%
22%
60%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
MHE
2 - 2
STJ
48%
22%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |