Lech Poznań vs Stal Mielec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
POD
1 - 0
LPO
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
LPO
3 - 0
GDA
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
RAK
3 - 1
LPO
41%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
LPO
0 - 0
WAR
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 1
LPO
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stal Mielec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
STA
1 - 0
POG
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
JAG
3 - 3
STA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
STA
0 - 2
ZAL
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
WAR
0 - 0
STA
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
WIS
3 - 1
STA
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |