Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
LPO
1 - 0
QAR
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
LPO
2 - 1
JAG
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
LPO
0 - 1
POG
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
LPO
1 - 2
WLO
77%
16%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LPO
2 - 1
ZAL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Raków Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
RAK
3 - 0
PLO
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
RAK
5 - 1
CHO
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
GDA
1 - 2
RAK
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
RAK
3 - 0
GDA
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ZAL
1 - 0
RAK
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |