Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LPO
3 - 1
STA
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
LPO
3 - 0
GOR
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
PLO
0 - 1
LPO
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
LPO
1 - 1
WAR
49%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 3
LPO
12%
20%
68%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Raków Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
RAK
2 - 1
GOR
68%
21%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
POG
1 - 2
RAK
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
TER
0 - 3
RAK
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
RAK
1 - 1
SLA
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
RAK
1 - 0
WAR
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |