Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Lech Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
LPO
1 - 0
SPB
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
RBS
0 - 1
LPO
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
LPO
1 - 1
JUV
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
KOR
0 - 0
LPO
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
LPO
1 - 0
TSP
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
KSZ
0 - 2
POL
18%
24%
58%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
ZNI
0 - 1
POL
18%
24%
59%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
POG
2 - 0
POL
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 1
POL
51%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
POL
0 - 1
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |