Lech Poznań vs Pogon Szczecin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
7º
1º
33
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 52 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 52 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 50 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 40 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 37 |
17º
|
22% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 30 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
40.5% | 4.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
39.5% | 21% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ZAL
0 - 1
LPO
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
RAK
0 - 0
LPO
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LPO
3 - 1
GDA
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
WLO
2 - 1
LPO
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LPO
2 - 0
GÓR
38%
26%
37%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pogon Szczecin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POG
2 - 0
WLO
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
POG
1 - 0
STA
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GÓR
1 - 0
POG
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 2
POG
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
POG
3 - 0
KOR
49%
24%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |