Lech Poznań vs Pogon Szczecin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
LPO
2 - 2
DYS
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
WIS
0 - 0
LPO
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
LPO
3 - 2
KOR
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
CRA
3 - 0
LPO
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
LPO
3 - 0
KOR
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pogon Szczecin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
POG
1 - 1
WIS
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
KOR
2 - 1
POG
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
POG
1 - 2
PLO
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
ARK
2 - 0
POG
38%
30%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
POG
0 - 0
GÓR
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |