Lech Poznań vs Pogon Szczecin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
LPO
1 - 0
OWD
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
OWD
2 - 1
LPO
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
RAD
0 - 2
LPO
18%
23%
60%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2005 |
LPO
2 - 0
RAD
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
LPO
1 - 0
CRA
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pogon Szczecin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
POG
2 - 1
KUJ
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
POG
2 - 0
POL
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2005 |
KUJ
1 - 0
POG
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
POG
0 - 0
ARK
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
OWD
1 - 0
POG
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |