Champions League Last 16
Global 4-8
Lech Poznań vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
32.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
LPO
0 - 0
WIS
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
LPO
6 - 0
IGL
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1990 |
PAN
1 - 2
LPO
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1990 |
LKS
1 - 0
LPO
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
LPO
2 - 2
ZAW
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
SOC
2 - 1
MAR
28%
29%
43%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
MAR
3 - 1
ASS
78%
15%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1990 |
DIN
0 - 0
MAR
10%
22%
68%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1990 |
MON
1 - 3
MAR
44%
28%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAN
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |