Europa League 1/32
Global 2-10
Lech Poznań vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
LPO
2 - 2
SZO
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
MSV
5 - 0
LPO
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
WAR
3 - 1
LPO
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
LPO
1 - 2
RCH
52%
26%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1978 |
ARK
3 - 2
LPO
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1978 |
MSV
3 - 1
ARB
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
STU
2 - 0
MSV
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
MSV
5 - 0
LPO
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1978 |
MSV
1 - 0
RTV
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
BRE
3 - 2
MSV
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |