Lech Poznań vs Motor Lublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
7º
1º
9
9º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
22 | 56 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 55 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 52 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 52 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 51 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 50 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 46 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 45 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 42 |
13º
|
4.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 41 |
14º
|
8% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 41 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 41 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 40 |
17º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 38 |
18º
|
17% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
24% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
28% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
47% | 65% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
RES
1 - 0
LPO
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LPO
1 - 0
SLA
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LPO
5 - 0
JAG
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
STA
0 - 2
LPO
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LPO
2 - 0
POG
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 2
JAG
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
MOT
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 0
GÓR
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 0
POG
61%
21%
19%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
WAR
5 - 2
MOT
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |