Lech Poznań vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
LPO
4 - 1
WIS
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 4
LPO
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GÓR
2 - 0
LPO
27%
28%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
MAC
3 - 1
LPO
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LPO
0 - 1
ZAL
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
WOL
2 - 1
MAC
20%
25%
56%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
MAC
0 - 3
ARS
29%
24%
47%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
MAC
3 - 1
LPO
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
BPO
2 - 3
MAC
22%
24%
54%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 1
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |