Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 5-4
Lech Poznań vs Liepājas Metalurgs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
LPO
1 - 3
POL
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
WAR
1 - 1
LPO
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
LIE
3 - 2
LPO
68%
17%
15%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
LPO
1 - 2
STO
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
AMI
1 - 0
LPO
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liepājas Metalurgs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1999 |
LIE
2 - 0
VAL
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
LIE
3 - 2
LPO
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1999 |
LIE
6 - 1
DIN
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
DRE
0 - 1
LIE
17%
23%
61%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
LIE
3 - 2
FKR
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |