Lech Poznań vs Ruch Chorzów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
ZAL
3 - 0
LPO
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CRA
2 - 0
LPO
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
LPO
0 - 1
WAR
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
LPO
0 - 0
GDA
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
POG
1 - 0
LPO
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
RCH
0 - 3
PGL
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
GDA
2 - 1
RCH
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
RCH
0 - 1
CRA
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
ZAL
4 - 1
RCH
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
RCH
0 - 0
WAR
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |