Lech Poznań vs Górnik Zabrze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2011 |
LPO
1 - 1
WAR
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
ZAL
1 - 0
LPO
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
LPO
0 - 0
GKS
54%
26%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
POD
2 - 3
LPO
22%
26%
53%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LPO
1 - 0
WAR
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Górnik Zabrze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
WIS
0 - 2
GÓR
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
JAG
2 - 0
GÓR
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
GÓR
0 - 0
GDA
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
GKS
1 - 1
GÓR
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GÓR
1 - 0
CRA
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |