Lech Poznań vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
LPO
0 - 0
GDA
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
POG
1 - 0
LPO
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
LPO
2 - 2
PGL
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 0
LPO
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GOR
0 - 1
LPO
33%
28%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
ZAL
2 - 0
WAR
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
WAR
4 - 0
CRA
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
RCH
0 - 0
WAR
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 0
LPO
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
POG
0 - 0
WAR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |