Lech Poznań vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2007 |
GÓR
1 - 2
LPO
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
LPO
6 - 1
WLO
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
LKS
1 - 2
LPO
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
LPO
1 - 0
GOR
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
GKS
0 - 0
LPO
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2007 |
WAR
2 - 0
WLO
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
GOR
1 - 2
WAR
33%
29%
38%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
WAR
3 - 1
POG
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
WIS
3 - 1
WAR
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
WAR
3 - 0
KOR
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |