Cup Final
Global 2-1
Lech Poznań vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2004 |
LPO
1 - 0
POL
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
GOR
1 - 2
LPO
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2004 |
LPO
2 - 0
OWD
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
GKS
1 - 2
LPO
45%
28%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
LPO
1 - 1
WLO
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2004 |
WAR
3 - 1
SWI
77%
16%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
WAR
2 - 0
PLO
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2004 |
AMI
0 - 1
WAR
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
WAR
2 - 0
GÓR
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
WIS
1 - 0
WAR
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |