Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 2-1
Lech Poznań vs Khazar Lankaran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
KHA
1 - 1
LPO
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
ZHE
1 - 1
LPO
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
LPO
2 - 0
ZHE
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
WLO
0 - 0
LPO
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
LPO
1 - 0
POD
70%
20%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Khazar Lankaran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
KHA
1 - 1
LPO
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
KAL
0 - 2
KHA
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
KHA
2 - 2
KAL
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
KHA
4 - 1
QAR
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
KHA
1 - 1
FKQ
46%
29%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |