Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 5-1
Lech Poznań vs Khazar Lankaran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
KHA
0 - 1
LPO
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
LPO
1 - 2
LKS
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
TSP
2 - 2
LPO
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
LPO
6 - 1
JAG
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CRA
3 - 2
LPO
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Khazar Lankaran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
KHA
0 - 1
LPO
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2008 |
SIM
1 - 1
KHA
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
KHA
2 - 0
SHA
42%
24%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
KHA
0 - 0
AZA
52%
28%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
FKN
0 - 1
KHA
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |