UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Lech Poznań vs Karvan FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
KAR
1 - 2
LPO
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
POL
0 - 2
LPO
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2005 |
LPO
3 - 1
WIS
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2005 |
DYS
1 - 0
LPO
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
LPO
3 - 0
GOR
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Karvan FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
KAR
1 - 2
LPO
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2005 |
KAR
2 - 0
SHA
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
MOI
0 - 2
KAR
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
KAR
2 - 0
ARA
59%
24%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
BAK
0 - 5
KAR
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |