Lech Poznań vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 0
LPO
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
LPO
0 - 1
SHA
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
SHA
0 - 1
LPO
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
LPO
2 - 0
ZAL
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
RCH
1 - 2
LPO
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
JAG
1 - 2
ARI
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
JAG
4 - 2
FBK
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
S04
1 - 0
JAG
66%
22%
12%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
JAG
4 - 1
LEI
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
POG
0 - 1
JAG
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |