Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-0
Lech Poznań vs ÍBV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
LPO
2 - 0
BAL
54%
27%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
STA
0 - 1
LPO
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1982 |
IBV
0 - 1
LPO
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
LPO
2 - 2
ZAG
48%
29%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
GWA
1 - 0
LPO
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
ÍBV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1982 |
IBV
0 - 1
LPO
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
IBV
2 - 0
FRA
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
IAA
1 - 2
IBV
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
IBV
2 - 2
VIK
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
IBV
2 - 2
KAA
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |