Lech Poznań vs Piast Gliwice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
KAL
1 - 0
LPO
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
WAR
2 - 0
LPO
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
LPO
4 - 0
RCH
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
LPO
0 - 0
POG
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
GDA
2 - 1
LPO
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
PGL
2 - 2
POD
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
WLO
2 - 1
PGL
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
PGL
2 - 0
ZAL
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
KOR
0 - 1
PGL
55%
23%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 5
PGL
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |