Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-2Lech Poznań vs Gandzasar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
07 Jul. 2018 |
LPO
0 - 0
AEK
39%
26%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
05 Jul. 2018 |
LPO
5 - 0
POD
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
30 Jun. 2018 |
LPO
2 - 1
HBS
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
23 Jun. 2018 |
LPO
2 - 0
WAR
80%
15%
6%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
20 May. 2018 |
LPO
0 - 3
WAR
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gandzasar
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 May. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 0
GAN
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
16 May. 2018 |
GAN
1 - 1
ALA
43%
24%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
12 May. 2018 |
GAN
1 - 1
BAN
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
09 May. 2018 |
SHI
0 - 0
GAN
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
05 May. 2018 |
GAN
4 - 3
PYU
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |