Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 3-1
Lech Poznań vs F91 Dudelange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LPO
0 - 1
SLA
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
LPO
4 - 1
VIK
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
ZAL
1 - 1
LPO
39%
26%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
VIK
1 - 0
LPO
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
LPO
1 - 3
PLO
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
F91 Dudelange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 3
F91
30%
25%
46%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
F91
2 - 2
MFF
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
F91
5 - 0
JEU
64%
20%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
MFF
3 - 0
F91
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
F91
1 - 4
PYU
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |